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Fibonacci Numbers – How to Use Them
for Huge Trading Profits! By Stephen Todd
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The Fibonacci numbers sequence and the golden ratio have fascinated
mathematicians for hundreds of years.
While Fibonacci numbers have many applications, they have received considerable
interest from traders due to their uncanny accuracy in spotting market turning
points in advance.
You can use Fibonacci numbers as a predictive tool and when used correctly they
can enhance a your analysis of the market, helping you to increase profits and
decrease risk.
The History of Fibonacci Numbers
The Fibonacci number sequence first appeared as the solution to a problem in the
Liber Abaci, a book written by Leonardo Fibonacci in 1202 to introduce the
Hindu-Arabic numerals used today to a Europe still using Roman numerals.
The original problem in the Liber Abaci posed the question: How many pairs of
rabbits can be generated from a single pair, if each month each mature pair
brings forth a new pair, which, from the second month, becomes productive.
The Fibonacci number Sequence
The resulting Fibonacci numbers 1, 1, 2, 3, 5, 8, 13, 21, 34, 55, 89, are the
result of the following equation.
If Fn is the nth Fibonacci number, then successive terms are formed by addition
of the previous two terms, as Fn+1 = Fn + Fn-1, F1 = 1, F2 =
The ratio of any number to the next larger number is 62%, which is a popular
Fibonacci retracement number. The inverse of 62% is 38%, and this 38% is
likewise a Fibonacci retracement number.
Fibonacci Numbers and the Golden Ratio
Fibonacci numbers are found to have many relationships to the Golden Ratio F =
(1 + /5)/2, a constant of nature which was of constant interest to the ancient
Greeks, appearing in both Greek art and architecture.
Fibonacci Numbers and Market Analysis
Changes in stock prices are not simply a tug of war between supply and demand
but also reflect human opinions, valuations, and expectations.
A study carried out by mathematical psychologist Vladimir Lefebvre demonstrated
that humans exhibit positive and negative evaluations of the opinions they hold
in a ratio that approaches phi, with 61.8% positive and 38.2% negative and that
Fibonacci numbers are rooted in a trader’s psychology.
Predicting Market Movements with Fibonacci Numbers
Research shows markets as being perfectly patterned, explaining that humans,
being part of nature, create perfect geometric relationships in their
behaviours, even if they don’t realize it themselves.
The Golden Mean is the number 0.618. In Both Greek and Egyptian cultures, this
number was highly significant. They believed that the number had important
implications in many areas of science and art. This dimension was utilised in
the construction of many buildings - including the pyramids.
The Golden Mean appears frequently enough in the timing of highs and lows and
price resistance points that adding this tool to technical analysis of the
markets can help to identify key turning points.
W. D.Gann and Fibonacci Numbers
Gann was a stock and commodity trader who reputedly made over $50 million
trading the markets.
Gann made his fortune using methods which he developed for trading instruments
based on relationships between price movement and time and his work was heavily
influenced by Fibonacci numbers.
Gann divided price action into eighths and thirds. This yields numbers such as
1/3, 3/8, 1/2, 5/8, and 2/3. In percentage terms, these fractions are 33.3%,
37.5%, 50%, 62.5%, and 66.7%. These five ratios are commonly used retracement
values. Gann placed strong significance on 50% retracements.
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To learn more about using Gann trading methods please visit our web site:
http://www.gann.co.uk ?expert=Stephen_Todd |